SPATIAL ANALYSIS OF THE TSUNAMI RISK IN PALABUHANRATU SUB-DISTRICT, SUKABUMI REGENCY, INDONESIA BASED ON THE DISASTER CRUNCH MODELSPATIAL ANALYSIS OF THE TSUNAMI RISK IN PALABUHANRATU SUB-DISTRICT, SUKABUMI REGENCY, INDONESIA BASED ON THE DISASTER CRUNCH

Abstract

Palabuhanratu Sub-District is one of the southern coastal areas of Java that has the potential to be exposed to tsunamis, with an estimated run-up of between 12-20 meters. Accordingly, it is necessary to conduct tsunami disaster mitigation by analysing the level of tsunami risk in the district to reduce potential losses if a tsunami occurs. This study aims to map the level of tsunami risk in Palabuhanratu Sub-District based on the disaster crunch model, which is a risk model that integrates vulnerability and tsunami hazard factors. The tsunami vulnerability analysis uses a weighted overlay quantitive approach, while the tsunami hazard analysis employs simulation of tsunami propagation by COMCOT V.1.7; the tsunami inundation reduction model; cost distance analysis; and fuzzy membership analysis. The results of the tsunami risk analysis show that villages included in the high-, medium-, and low-risk categories are Citepus, Palabuhanratu, and Jayanti. The percentage of high-risk areas in the three villages are 10% (139 hectares), 20.3% (114 hectares), and 0.01% (0.13 hectares) respectively. The higher the risk of a tsunami in an area, the higher the losses that will be incurred by the local population.